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Starbucks Corp’s Q3 Results


Wall Street was initially concerned about a potential slowdown in U.S. sales for Starbucks Corp. However, during the company’s recent earnings call, executives reassured investors that they had various strategies in place to maintain growth.

Leveraging Cold Coffee Drinks

During the third quarter, cold coffee drinks accounted for 75% of U.S. beverage sales. This highlights the popularity and potential for further growth in this category.

Customizable Beverages and Increased Food Orders

Another positive trend is the demand for customizable beverages, which constituted over 60% of drink orders during the quarter. Additionally, approximately 40% of customers paired their drinks with food, resulting in more frequent food orders.

Expansion Plans

Starbucks plans to open new stores in smaller cities and introduce new formats in larger ones. The company also aims to enhance personalization by installing more digital menu boards. These initiatives are expected to drive growth and customer satisfaction in the coming years.

Loyalty Program

The loyalty program has been integral in keeping customers coming back more often. Its effectiveness is evident in the continued growth of customer retention.

Innovations in Equipment and Products

Starbucks has been testing new equipment, such as handheld cold-foam blenders, to improve the overall beverage experience. In addition, they have been working on perfecting their cold-pressed cold brew, which is scheduled for rollout across U.S. company-owned stores by the end of the next fiscal year.

Positive Employment Trends

Notably, baristas have shown increased job retention rates, contributing to improved productivity. Starbucks’ investments in employee wages and benefits have been met with appreciation from their unionized workforce. These efforts have resulted in better compensation and increased employee satisfaction.

Ongoing efforts to refine scheduling and staffing practices aim to increase the number of hours per partner in-store. This is crucial for maintaining exceptional store operations, improving partner engagement, and ultimately enhancing productivity.

Overall, Starbucks remains committed to driving growth and delivering an exceptional customer experience through various strategic initiatives.

Disappointing North American Sales

In the third quarter, Starbucks experienced a slight disappointment in its same-store sales performance in North America. Although sales rose by 7%, this fell short of Consensus Metrix’s forecasted gain of 8.2%. However, the company reassured investors by maintaining that its full-year global same-store sales would land towards the high end of a predicted range of 7% to 9% growth.

Analysts’ Mixed Reactions

Following the release of the results, Starbucks received mixed reactions from analysts. Despite the North American sales setback, higher productivity and increased prices contributed to improved profit margins during the quarter. Additionally, there was a notable rebound in same-store sales in China.

Doubts and Controversies

Analysts have expressed some doubts regarding Starbucks’ ambitious financial targets, including same-store sales expectations. In particular, concern has been raised about the sustainability of North America’s same-store sales trends. CFRA analyst Siye Desta warned about the potential for subdued revenue and margin growth. BofA analysts also highlighted the issue, labeling it a “key controversy” arising from Starbucks’ results.

Long-Term Growth Predictions and Investor Sentiment

BTIG analyst Peter Saleh echoed the concerns and suggested that Starbucks consider revising their long-term same-store sales expectations. He noted that moderating pricing and challenging customer traffic are leading investors to question whether the current target of 7-9% growth is achievable. Saleh believes that providing more details about Starbucks’ long-term plans in November, along with potential acceleration in unit development, could alleviate the pressure on same-store sales to meet top-line growth targets.

In an interesting perspective, Saleh proposed that lowering the same-store sales bar could actually attract more investors to the stock. Many investors feel that the current target is simply too high, and a more realistic goal could enhance investor confidence.

Despite the mixed reactions from analysts, Starbucks saw a 2.5% increase in shares on Wednesday, bouncing back from initial after-hours declines on Tuesday.


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